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Reaffirming that the army will be mobilized to expel all illegal immigrants, Trump's latest statement revealed more details. On December 12, local time, US President-elect Trump reiterated in an interview that he plans to use the army to the maximum extent permitted by law and promote large-scale expulsion of illegal immigrants. Trump called illegal immigrants "an invasion of the country" and promised to cooperate with federal resources, including the National Guard, to quickly implement deportation. It is reported that Trump plans to declare a state of emergency, allocate resources to support this action, and may build new facilities to resettle immigrants waiting for repatriation. He also stressed that he hopes to reduce the demand for detention facilities through rapid expulsion. The analysis pointed out that although the National Guard has been used to support border patrols before, including the Democratic and Republican parties, it has not directly participated in immigration law enforcement. This time, the Trump team plans to use the military to provide support in transportation, infrastructure construction and intelligence, but the arrest will be carried out by immigration officials. Trump also suggested in the interview that he would expel all illegal immigrants in the next four years. According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of January 2022, there were about 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States, and this number may increase recently. In this regard, some studies believe that the full implementation of the plan is costly, or it will have a far-reaching impact on industries that rely on immigrant labor. On November 18, local time, US President-elect Trump confirmed on the social media platform that the US military would be mobilized by declaring the country into a state of emergency, thus expelling illegal immigrants from the United States. (CCTV News)President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.

There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)Ambassador of China to the United States: "Going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Xie Feng, China's ambassador to the United States, said on the 11th that "going to China" is the real risk of global supply chain. Speaking at the annual dinner of u.s.-china business council held in Washington that night, Xie Feng said that in the face of protectionism, China's determination to comprehensively deepen reform and expand high-level opening-up has always been the same, its goal of promoting stable and far-reaching Sino-US relations has always been the same, and its desire to welcome enterprises from all countries, including American enterprises, to share development opportunities has always been the same. Xie Feng said that since the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, a series of heavy reform measures have come into effect, and access to the manufacturing sector has been fully liberalized. For the first time, negative list management has been established for cross-border service trade nationwide, and wholly foreign-owned hospitals have been allowed to be set up in nine places including Beijing. Eleven foreign-controlled or wholly foreign-owned brokers, including JPMorgan Chase, have successively settled in China, and telecommunications, internet, education, culture and medical care have been opened in an orderly manner, releasing huge market dividends. Xie Feng said that the weaponization of tariffs closes the market and loses opportunities. The "small courtyard and high wall" can't stop the spring breeze of innovation, but will draw the land as a prison. "Going to China" under the guise of "removing risks" is the real risk of the global supply chain, and treating "national security" as a "panacea" to discredit and suppress is itself creating insecurity. Only when Sino-US cooperation is done well will the two countries and the world be more prosperous and safer. U.s.-china business council, founded in 1973, is a non-governmental trade organization with China established by the United States before the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States. It has long been committed to promoting the development of Sino-US relations and economic and trade cooperation. At present, the Committee has 270 American member enterprises doing business in China.A quick look at the authority of Xinhua News Agency | The Central Economic Work Conference in 2024 will set the tone for economic work next year.

Spot silver fell 3.00% in the day and is now reported at $30.94 per ounce.YiXixi sovereign bond yields in the euro zone rose by about 16 basis points at most. In 2024, the European Central Bank cut interest rates three times. The yield of French 10-year government bonds rose by 9.5 basis points to 2.987%, approaching the top of 3.032% on November 28th. US stocks briefly fell before the market, and reached a new low of 2.880% at 22:07 Beijing time (during the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde). The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 15.7 basis points to 3.348%, approaching the top of 3.410% on November 28th, and was on the rise all day, reaching a daily low of 3.218% at 21:56 (during Lagarde's press conference). Spain's 10-year bond yields rose by 11.6 basis points, while Greece's 10-year bond yields rose by 13.5 basis points.Market News: Russia has established direct contacts with the Political Committee of the Sharm el-Liberation Organization, and these contacts are constructive.